Venture(US:VEMLY) Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-07-31 05:12Core Viewpoint - The company, Xinqiang Electronics, is preparing for an IPO on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's ChiNext board, aiming to raise 9.62 billion yuan for high-end circuit board expansion projects. However, it faces multiple challenges, including governance issues, stagnant revenue growth, and reliance on joint ventures for sales [1][3][23]. Group 1: Company Overview - Xinqiang Electronics has a 12.57% market share in the global memory PCB market as of 2024, with an average product price exceeding 2000 yuan per square meter, placing it in the industry's top tier [3]. - The company was established in August 2005 with a registered capital of 250 million yuan, focusing on the R&D, production, and sales of printed circuit boards, primarily targeting the mid-to-high-end market [10]. Group 2: IPO and Valuation Concerns - The company’s pre-IPO share transfer involved the controlling family selling shares at 2.80 yuan each, resulting in a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 7.68, which raises questions about the valuation disparity as the IPO aims for a near 100 billion yuan valuation [4][6]. - The IPO plans to issue no less than 51 million shares, representing 10% of the total post-issue share capital, indicating a significant increase in valuation within a short period [6]. Group 3: Revenue Structure and Risks - Approximately 20% of the company's revenue is derived from joint ventures, raising concerns about its independence and the sustainability of its revenue model [7][9]. - The company has faced stagnant revenue growth, with 2022-2024 revenues reported at 8.69 billion yuan, 10 billion yuan, and 9.99 billion yuan, respectively, indicating a slight decline in 2024 [16]. Group 4: Governance and Management Issues - The board of directors is predominantly composed of members from the controlling family, holding 95.04% of the shares, which may pose challenges during the IPO review process due to a lack of local representation [12]. - The company has distributed significant cash dividends totaling 180 million yuan over two years, which nearly depletes its net profits during the same period, raising questions about the rationale behind such distributions [14]. Group 5: R&D and Competitive Landscape - R&D expenditures from 2022 to 2024 were below 4% of revenue, indicating insufficient investment in innovation compared to industry standards [18]. - The PCB industry is highly competitive, with the top ten manufacturers holding only 37.75% of the market share, necessitating that Xinqiang Electronics demonstrate its ability to innovate and compete effectively [19]. Group 6: Potential Risks - The company’s reliance on joint ventures for sales and the associated risks of revenue dependency could impact its financial stability if these relationships deteriorate [20]. - The planned expansion of production capacity by 38,000 square meters may exacerbate existing overcapacity issues in the industry, particularly given the stagnant revenue growth [20][21].