Boeing(US:BA) Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-07-31 08:41Core Viewpoint - Boeing's second-quarter performance exceeded expectations due to improved operational efficiency and increased commercial aircraft deliveries, with cash flow surpassing company guidance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Boeing's second-quarter results were bolstered by operational efficiency and a rise in commercial aircraft deliveries [1] - The company reported a free cash flow of approximately -$200 million in the second quarter, excluding DOJ payments, and expects third-quarter free cash flow to be similar [1] - Boeing anticipates a full-year free cash flow of -$3 billion for 2025, better than market expectations of -$3.4 billion, which includes a $700 million payment to the U.S. Department of Justice [1] Group 2: Production and Delivery - The production rate for the 737 reached 38 aircraft per month in the last quarter, with plans to stabilize this rate at 42 aircraft per month by late 2025, pending FAA approval [1] - Boeing believes it can exceed the initial delivery forecast of 400 aircraft for the 737 beyond 2025 [1] - The production rate for the 787 has recently increased from 5 aircraft per month to 7 aircraft per month [1] Group 3: Market and Trade Considerations - JPMorgan maintains an "overweight" rating on Boeing bonds, citing increased backlog orders and favorable treatment of the aerospace and defense industry in current trade negotiations [1] - The company feels more optimistic about tariff costs, previously estimating annual tariff-related costs to be below $500 million [1] - Long-term fair value for Boeing's 30-year bonds is considered to be T+100 basis points, as the company's credit profile is expected to improve over time [1]