Core Viewpoint - The stock of Out of the Door (02438) has surged over 112% in the past four trading days, attracting significant investor attention [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Trading Dynamics - Prior to the 112% surge, the stock exhibited a "bottom accumulation" pattern from June 23 to July 25, with a modest increase of 14.49% while funds were strategically restructuring the shareholding [3] - The stock demonstrated a "slow bull accumulation" with a total turnover rate of only 6.03%, but a significant disparity in trading volume, with 59.86 million shares in positive volume versus 32.85 million in negative volume, indicating a strategy of "buying on the rise and controlling on the fall" [3][4] - The stock's price was tightly controlled within a 14.49% increase, avoiding early attraction of speculative trading, while the average cost was locked at HKD 0.385, with a solid support base formed between HKD 0.34 and HKD 0.38 [3][4] Group 2: Major Shareholders and Trading Activity - The top five buying seats during the accumulation phase included Futu Securities Hong Kong, Veen Securities, Merrill Lynch Far East Limited, Changqiao Securities Hong Kong, and HSBC Hong Kong, with respective increases in shareholding ratios [5][6] - Following the accumulation phase, from July 28 to July 31, the stock experienced a dramatic increase of 112.66%, with a total trading volume of 561.1 million shares and a total value of HKD 362 million, where positive volume accounted for over 86% [7][8] Group 3: Financial Performance and Business Transformation - The latest financial report revealed that Out of the Door achieved total revenue of RMB 390 million for the year ending December 31, with a year-on-year growth of 6%, and AIGC solutions revenue reached RMB 220 million, marking an impressive growth of 88.5% [13][16] - The company has transitioned from a "three-legged" business model to a "dual-core" strategy, focusing on high-value AIGC and AI hardware, which has become the main driver of growth [16][17] Group 4: Valuation and Market Potential - The potential valuation of the AIGC business is estimated at HKD 20 billion based on a conservative price-to-sales ratio of 10, while the AI hardware business could be valued at approximately HKD 7.5 billion [17][18] - The current market capitalization of Out of the Door is just over HKD 1.3 billion, indicating significant undervaluation compared to its potential [17][18] Group 5: Overall Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The combination of technical stock control, strategic business restructuring, and capital market valuation changes suggests that Out of the Door is positioned for substantial growth beyond short-term speculation [19][20] - The company is currently at a pivotal moment, experiencing a "triple crescendo" in its market dynamics, business transformation, and valuation potential [22]
13亿市值撑不起20亿业务？出门问问（02438）三重动能催生估值革命