Marathon(US:MPC) ZACKSยท2025-07-31 14:16Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Marathon Petroleum (MPC) will report quarterly earnings of $3.22 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 21.8%, with anticipated revenues of $30.91 billion, a decrease of 19.4% compared to the previous year [1] Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised upward by 22.9% over the past 30 days, reflecting a collective reappraisal by analysts [2] - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3] Key Metrics Forecast - Analysts predict 'Refining & Marketing - Refinery throughputs - Net refinery throughput' to reach 2,950.66 thousand barrels of oil per day, down from 3,065.00 thousand barrels per day in the same quarter last year [5] - The forecast for 'Refining & Marketing - Refinery throughputs - Crude oil refined' is 2,778.04 thousand barrels of oil per day, compared to 2,867.00 thousand barrels per day in the same quarter last year [6] - For 'Refining & Marketing - Refinery throughputs - Other charge and blendstocks', the expected throughput is 171.27 thousand barrels of oil per day, down from 198.00 thousand barrels per day in the same quarter last year [7] - Analysts expect 'Adjusted EBITDA- Refining & Marketing' to be $1.49 billion, compared to $1.97 billion from the previous year [7] - The projected 'Adjusted EBITDA- Midstream' is $1.67 billion, slightly up from $1.62 billion year-over-year [8] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Marathon Petroleum shares have recorded a return of -2.1%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has changed by +2.7% [8] - Based on its Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), MPC is expected to perform in line with the overall market in the upcoming period [8]