AvalonBay Q2 FFO Beats Estimates, Occupancy Delayed, Shares Fall

Core Insights - AvalonBay Communities (AVB) reported Q2 2025 core funds from operations (FFO) per share of $2.82, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.80 and reflecting a 1.8% increase year-over-year [1][9] - The company revised its full-year 2025 outlook, indicating higher same-store net operating income (NOI) but lower development NOI due to delayed occupancies [1][10] Financial Performance - Total revenues for the quarter were $760.2 million, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.2%, but showing a 4.7% year-over-year increase [2] - Same-store residential revenues rose 3.0% year-over-year to $689.1 million, while same-store operating expenses increased by 3.6% to $211.9 million, resulting in a same-store residential NOI growth of 2.7% to $477.18 million [3][9] - Average revenue per occupied home increased to $3,056, up 2.8% from the previous year, with economic occupancy at 96.2%, a rise of 20 basis points year-over-year [4] Portfolio Activity - In Q2, the company acquired six communities in the Dallas-Fort Worth area for $431.5 million, adding 1,844 apartment homes to its portfolio [5] - AVB sold two communities in Wood-Ridge, NJ, for $161.5 million, realizing a GAAP gain of $99.64 million [5] Balance Sheet Position - As of June 30, 2025, AVB had $102.83 million in unrestricted cash and no borrowings under its credit facility, with outstanding borrowings of $664.64 million under its unsecured commercial paper note program [7] - The annualized net debt-to-core EBITDAre ratio for the April-June period was 4.4 times, with an unencumbered NOI of 95% for the first half of 2025 [7] 2025 Outlook - For full-year 2025, AVB expects core FFO per share between $11.19 and $11.59, indicating a projected growth of 3.5% at the midpoint [10] - Same-store residential revenue growth is expected to be 2.8%, down from the previously guided 3%, while same-store operating expenses are projected to grow 3.1% [11] - For Q3 2025, AVB anticipates core FFO per share in the range of $2.75-$2.85, which is lower than the current Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.86 [12]