房价全面下跌，专家说：未来三年的房价将创"历史新低"？可能吗？

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market is experiencing unprecedented declines, with predictions of further drops leading to historical lows in property prices, particularly in certain cities [3][6][10]. Group 1: Market Decline - The adjustment in the real estate market began around 2021, with overall price declines reported between 40% to 50% in various regions [3][6]. - Experts suggest that the current market conditions may lead to prices falling below historical lows, with some cities potentially seeing prices revert to levels not seen in the past five to ten years [6][10]. Group 2: Contributing Factors - The market is facing a supply-demand imbalance, characterized by high inventory levels, especially in third and fourth-tier cities, coupled with a declining population and changing attitudes towards homeownership among younger generations [8][10]. - A significant portion of the younger population, specifically 70% of those born in the 2000s, prefer renting over buying, indicating a shift in market dynamics [8]. Group 3: Future Predictions - Experts predict that the real estate market will undergo a revaluation, where properties that once sold for millions may drop to significantly lower prices, potentially below developers' cost lines [10][12]. - The trend of declining prices is expected to persist for several years, making it difficult for the market to recover in the short term [10]. Group 4: Recommendations for Buyers - For first-time homebuyers, the current price drops may present opportunities for better value, but caution is advised against rushing into purchases [12][14]. - Investors are encouraged to closely monitor policy changes and market conditions, particularly in first and second-tier cities, while avoiding third and fourth-tier cities due to high risks and uncertainties [15][16].