3 6 Ke·2025-08-01 02:28Core Viewpoint - The Chinese real estate market continues to operate at a low level, with significant declines in sales performance among the top 100 real estate companies in July, reflecting a seasonal downturn in supply and demand [1][2][11]. Group 1: Market Performance - In July, the transaction volume of new homes in 30 key cities was only 8.36 million square meters, with cumulative sales for the first seven months remaining flat compared to the previous year [1]. - The top 100 real estate companies achieved a monthly sales amount of 211.16 billion yuan, marking a return to historically low levels [2]. - Cumulative sales for the first seven months reached 1,863.84 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year decline of 12.5%, although this decline is 25 percentage points less than the same period last year [2]. Group 2: Company Performance - The number of companies achieving over 100 billion yuan in sales increased to four in the first seven months, although this is one less than the same period last year [1]. - The sales threshold for the top 100 companies decreased by 22.4% year-on-year to 3.19 billion yuan, down from 4.1 billion yuan last year [5]. - The cumulative sales for the top 10 companies fell by over 10%, with the top three companies reporting sales of 412.26 billion yuan, down 14.4% year-on-year [8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - It is anticipated that new home sales in August will continue to fluctuate at low levels, with a cumulative year-on-year decline expected to remain within 5% [11]. - The market is expected to see continued differentiation between cities and projects, with core first and second-tier cities facing supply constraints and potential short-term declines in transaction volume [11]. - Some second-tier cities, such as Tianjin, Wuhan, and Nanjing, may experience a temporary recovery, particularly with the introduction of new housing regulations and products [11].