Workflow
华源证券:首次覆盖东鹏饮料给予增持评级

Core Viewpoint - Dongpeng Beverage is positioned as a leading player in the functional beverage industry, demonstrating rapid growth in its fundamentals and aiming for platform development [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Dongpeng Beverage achieved revenue of 10.737 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.375 billion yuan, up 37.22% [2]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.889 billion yuan, a 34.10% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.395 billion yuan, growing by 30.75% [2]. - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 shows energy drinks, electrolyte drinks, and other beverages generating 8.361 billion yuan, 1.493 billion yuan, and 877 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.91%, 213.71%, and 66.24% [2]. Business Segments - The energy drink segment continues to grow, with Q2 2025 revenue reaching 4.46 billion yuan, an 18.77% increase year-on-year, driven by an expanding consumer base and increased consumption frequency [3]. - The electrolyte drink line, branded "Bushi La," has seen significant growth, achieving Q2 2025 revenue of 923 million yuan, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 190.05% [3]. - The "Other Beverages" category generated 503 million yuan in Q2 2025, reflecting a 61.78% growth, with the new product "Guo Zhi Cha" contributing to this success [4]. Digital Transformation and Market Strategy - Dongpeng Beverage has established a comprehensive digital management system that enhances its operational efficiency across marketing, supply chain, and management [4]. - The company has over 3,200 distributors and more than 4.2 million effective outlets, showcasing its extensive market penetration [4]. - The combination of strong digital operations and channel management capabilities is facilitating the company's evolution into a platform-oriented enterprise [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profits for Dongpeng Beverage from 2025 to 2027 are 4.34 billion yuan, 5.65 billion yuan, and 7.024 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 30.46%, 30.19%, and 24.32% respectively [5]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are estimated at 34, 26, and 21 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [5]. - The initial coverage rating for the stock is "Buy," reflecting confidence in the company's sustained growth potential [5].