稳定币能拯救美元吗？还是只能推迟美元的崩溃？

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of Tether (USDt), the largest stablecoin, on the US dollar system, suggesting that while it creates new demand for US Treasury bonds, it may only delay the inevitable decline of the dollar rather than save it [1][15]. Group 1: Tether's Financial Performance - Tether is highlighted as potentially the most profitable company in business history, generating $13.7 billion in profit last year with only 165 employees, resulting in over $83 million in profit per employee [2][5]. - The company's unique business model provides instant, global access to digital dollars for anyone with a smartphone, contributing to its success [5]. Group 2: User Growth and Market Impact - Tether claims to have over 400 million users, adding 30 million each quarter, with significant popularity in emerging markets like Argentina, Venezuela, and Turkey, where local currencies are depreciating [8][9]. - The article compares Tether to a retail version of the offshore dollar, noting that while the European dollar market is significantly larger, Tether is rapidly growing and providing similar functions for retail and small institutional investors [8][9]. Group 3: Support for US Treasury Market - Tether has become the seventh-largest holder of US Treasury bonds, surpassing entire countries like Canada and Switzerland, by investing its reserves in short-term US debt [10]. - The company has established a partnership with Cantor Fitzgerald to manage large-scale redemptions, ensuring liquidity and stability during high withdrawal demands [11][12]. Group 4: Limitations and Future Outlook - Despite Tether's contributions to the demand for US Treasury bonds, the article warns that this support is limited compared to the US government's annual debt needs of nearly $9 trillion [14]. - The author concludes that while Tether may provide temporary stability for the dollar, it does not alter the long-term trajectory of the dollar's decline due to unsustainable government spending [15].