余鹏鲲：雅江水电站，为何会出现大量谣言带节奏？

Core Viewpoint - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is seen as a significant strategic move that could alter geopolitical dynamics and boost local economic development and tourism [1][2]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project involves the construction of five tiered power stations with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan [1][2]. - The project was first mentioned in the "14th Five-Year Plan" and received government approval in December 2024, with construction starting less than eight months later [2][4]. - The project aims to primarily supply electricity for external consumption while also addressing local energy needs in Tibet [1][2]. Group 2: Strategic Importance - The project is expected to have significant strategic implications, potentially reshaping regional power dynamics and addressing energy demands in the context of climate change [1][2][4]. - The rapid progression of the project is partly attributed to the completion of essential infrastructure, such as the upgraded Zhamo-Motu road, which facilitates material transport [21][22]. Group 3: Technical Challenges - The construction site presents unique geological challenges, including extreme weather conditions and seismic activity, which necessitate careful planning and execution [5][9][10]. - The project will utilize a tunnel diversion method to mitigate risks associated with the region's geological instability, a technique previously validated by similar projects [25][34]. Group 4: Economic Impact - The hydropower project is projected to significantly enhance China's renewable energy capacity, potentially adding 50 to 60 million kilowatts to the national grid, which is over 10% of the current hydropower capacity [55][59]. - The project is expected to stimulate local economic growth, with the GDP of the region projected to increase significantly as a result of improved infrastructure and energy availability [14][60]. Group 5: Environmental Considerations - The Chinese government has committed to preserving the original ecological system while developing the project, aiming to minimize adverse impacts on downstream areas [4][22]. - The project is designed to complement other renewable energy sources, such as solar and wind, contributing to a more stable and sustainable energy grid [59][61].