较高点蒸发超1500亿港元！港股“新消费势力”遭遇深度回调，南向资金撤离成关键推手

Core Viewpoint - The new consumption sector in Hong Kong has experienced a significant downturn despite the overall rise of the Hang Seng Index since June, with major stocks like Lao Pu Gold, Mixue Group, and Pop Mart seeing substantial market value losses and price declines exceeding 30% from their peak [1][2][3]. Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rebounded from a low of 23185.58 points on June 19 to a high of 25735.89 points on July 24, while the new consumption sector faced collective declines [2]. - Lao Pu Gold's stock price fell from a peak of 1108 HKD per share on July 8 to 690 HKD by August 1, marking a cumulative drop of over 37% [2]. - Mixue Group's stock price decreased from 618.5 HKD on June 5 to 463 HKD by August 1, a decline of 25% [2]. - The combined market value of Lao Pu Gold, Mixue Group, and Pop Mart dropped by over 150 billion HKD from their highs [3]. Capital Flow - A significant outflow of southbound funds has been identified as a key driver of the downturn in the new consumption sector, with a net outflow of 41.09 billion HKD from these stocks between July 2 and July 30 [5][6]. - In contrast, local Hong Kong intermediaries continued to increase their holdings, indicating a shift in investment strategy [6]. Company-Specific Issues - Lao Pu Gold and Mixue Group are facing scrutiny regarding their business models and operational sustainability, with concerns about high production costs and declining capacity utilization [10][11]. - Lao Pu Gold's production outsourcing increased from 36% in 2021 to 41% in 2023, while its R&D investment ratio decreased [10]. - Mixue Group's capacity utilization rates for key ingredients have been declining, raising questions about its operational efficiency [10]. Future Outlook - Industry analysts express divided opinions on the long-term potential of the new consumption sector, with some optimistic about its growth driven by consumer upgrades, while others caution against high valuation risks [11][12]. - The market is expected to see structural opportunities, with leading companies likely to outperform while weaker concepts may face challenges [13].