稳定币能否重塑全球货币

Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong's "Stablecoin Management Ordinance" marks a significant regulatory step, establishing it as the first major international financial center in Asia to comprehensively regulate the stablecoin market, amidst growing interest from major tech companies like JD.com and Ant Group in enhancing cross-border payment efficiency through stablecoins [1][4]. Group 1: Regulatory Framework - The new regulation requires all stablecoin transactions to occur through regulated exchanges, prohibiting direct peer-to-peer transfers between wallets, and mandates strict KYC (Know Your Customer) and KYT (Know Your Transaction) compliance for every transaction [2][21]. - The regulatory approach aims to prevent the influx of gray capital, ensuring that stablecoin development adheres to compliance and safety standards, even if it slows initial progress [2][31]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Major tech companies are entering the Hong Kong stablecoin market primarily to improve cross-border payment efficiency and to capitalize on the potential for stable revenue generation through interest on deposited funds [18][17]. - The challenge for new stablecoins, particularly those pegged to the Hong Kong dollar, lies in overcoming the established dominance of USDT and USDC, which have created a robust "on-chain dollar" ecosystem [19][20]. Group 3: Systemic Risks and Opportunities - The essence of stablecoins as financial tools lies in their ability to connect on-chain and off-chain economies, but their stability is fundamentally dependent on the quality of the underlying assets [8][9]. - The emergence of stablecoins is reshaping the international monetary system, allowing tech companies to participate in currency creation, which poses significant challenges to traditional financial frameworks [3][39]. Group 4: Future Trends - There is potential for stablecoins backed by other real-world assets (RWA) such as gold or commodities to gain traction, especially as market confidence in the dollar fluctuates [25][24]. - The regulatory landscape is evolving, with different regions adopting varying approaches; for instance, the EU is likely to push for euro-backed stablecoins while the US maintains a more permissive stance [22][28].