Hua Er Jie Jian Wen·2025-08-01 15:42Market Overview - The MSCI global index has fallen for six consecutive days, marking the longest losing streak since September 2023, amid concerns over economic and inflation impacts from Trump's global tax measures [1] - U.S. stock markets have seen significant declines, with the Nasdaq down over 2.3%, S&P 500 down over 1.7%, and Dow Jones down over 1.5% [1][13] - European stocks also experienced collective declines, with the German DAX down over 2.7%, UK FTSE down over 1%, and French CAC down over 3% [2][14] Employment Data Impact - U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 73,000 in July, falling short of the expected 110,000, indicating a shift towards slower growth in the labor market [1] - The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, aligning with expectations [1] Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Expectations - The market is pricing in two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with a 76% probability of a cut in September [1][10] - Analysts suggest that the weak employment report may prompt the Fed to consider restarting rate cuts, with some predicting a potential 50 basis point cut [7][9] Currency and Commodity Movements - The U.S. dollar index fell over 1.3%, while non-U.S. currencies appreciated, with the euro rising approximately 1.5% against the dollar [1][2] - Gold prices surged over 1.8%, reaching above $3,350, while silver also turned positive [5] Sector-Specific Reactions - The semiconductor index dropped by 3.13%, and bank indices fell by 3.68%, reflecting broader market fears [1] - Pharmaceutical stocks led declines in Europe, influenced by Trump's call for lower drug prices from companies like Novo Nordisk and AstraZeneca [2][14] Trade Policy Uncertainty - Trump's new tariff measures, which range from 10% to 41%, have created significant uncertainty in the market, making it difficult for businesses and investors to plan ahead [11][12] - Analysts predict that if these tariffs are implemented, the average tariff rate on U.S. goods could rise to 15.2%, significantly higher than the previous rate of 13.3% [12]