Should OppFi Shares Be in Your Portfolio Pre-Q2 Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 6, with expected revenues of $141.6 million, reflecting a 12.1% year-over-year increase, and earnings per share (EPS) anticipated to rise by 3.5% to $0.30 [1][8]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues in Q2 2025 is $141.6 million, indicating a 12.1% increase from the previous year [1]. - The consensus EPS estimate is set at 30 cents, which represents a 3.5% rise from the year-ago figure [1]. - The company has a history of earnings surprises, having beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 59.5% [2]. Earnings Prediction - Current analysis indicates a low probability of an earnings beat for OppFi, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [3][4]. - There have been no changes in analyst estimates or revisions recently, maintaining a consistent EPS forecast [2]. Customer Strategy - OppFi's customer-centric approach, supported by AI and machine learning, is expected to drive revenue growth by increasing auto-approval rates and enhancing client satisfaction [5][8]. - The company reported a 4.7/5.0-star rating on Trustpilot and a Net Promoter Score of 78, indicating strong customer loyalty and satisfaction [6]. Stock Performance - OppFi's stock has surged 203.1% over the past year, outperforming its industry (22.4% increase) and the Zacks S&P 500 composite (19.5% increase) [9]. - The stock is currently trading at a trailing 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 7.99, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.65 and cheaper than peers WEX and Corpay [11]. Market Position and Risk Management - OppFi focuses on the underbanked population, which involves high credit risk, but has effectively implemented risk management strategies to minimize losses [13]. - The net charge-off rate as a percentage of total revenues decreased by 1300 basis points year-over-year in Q1 2025, showcasing the effectiveness of its risk mitigation strategies [14]. - Despite the potential for growth in serving the underbanked, concerns about credit risk remain due to the high probability of default [15]. Investment Considerations - The company is fundamentally strong with a discounted valuation, appealing to investors, but caution is advised due to the inherent risks in its primary market [16]. - Existing investors are recommended to hold the stock, while new buyers should consider waiting until after the earnings release to assess performance [17].