Key Takeaways DAVE delivered 63% y/y revenue growth in 3Q25, driven by a 49% jump in ExtraCash originations.OPFI grew 3Q25 revenues 13.5% and lifted adjusted net income 41.4%, supported by disciplined expense control.Dave cut 28-day delinquency rates to about 2% in 3Q25, reflecting gains from its CashAI v5.5 rollout.Both OppFi Inc. (OPFI) and Dave (DAVE) operate in the fintech space, addressing customer needs surrounding digital lending. DAVE’s primary service is to offer small, interest-free cash advances ...

Core Insights - The top 10 stock picks for 2025 yielded a return of 45.6%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's return of 17.6% [34] - The market has experienced volatility due to various factors, including trade disputes and shifts in investor sentiment towards safe havens like gold and silver [8][15] - The performance of stocks is heavily influenced by market sentiment, with a notable shift back to fundamentals following a truce in U.S.-China trade relations [37] Market Overview - The U.S. Dollar Index has decreased by approximately 9.5% year-to-date, indicating a shift away from the U.S. dollar [9] - Technology sector stocks have seen a year-to-date increase of 27%, while consumer staples and healthcare sectors have shown mixed performance [12] - The S&P 500 experienced a maximum pullback of 15% earlier in the year, which historically presents a buying opportunity for long-term investors [19] Stock Performance - The top 10 stocks included companies like Celestica and Credo, which have shown substantial growth, with Celestica up 240% since January 9 [54] - OppFi, initially performing well, faced challenges due to market sentiment but has recently returned to a Buy rating [56] - Stride has been downgraded to a Sell due to poor momentum and analyst revisions, reflecting a significant decline in performance [91] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates three times in the latter half of the year, indicating concerns about the labor market [23] - Major brokerage firms have reduced recession odds following a truce in trade disputes, which has positively impacted market sentiment [24] - Inflation remains a concern, complicating the Fed's decision-making regarding interest rates [25] Future Outlook - The upcoming webinar on January 6 will present the top stock picks for 2026, with expectations of continued focus on companies with strong fundamentals [98] - Analysts are optimistic about the growth potential of companies like Credo, which has a projected earnings growth rate of 78% over the next three to five years [51] - The market remains top-heavy, with 35% of the total market cap attributed to the Magnificent 7 stocks, raising questions about valuation sustainability [30]

Key Takeaways Digital wallets, cards and online checkouts keep replacing cash, lifting payment volumes into 2026.Lower interest rates will improve consumer spending and credit conditions across the payments industry.COF, SOFI and OPFI are leveraging tech, scale and innovation to tap long-term payment demand.The global payments industry is gearing up for 2026 with a positive growth environment, driven by the ongoing transition to digital and electronic payment methods. While consumer spending continues to gr ...

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve has reduced the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 3.5-3.75%, marking a total reduction of 75 basis points in 2025 after a 1% cut in 2024, and will begin purchasing $40 billion in Treasury Bills [1] Group 1: Fintech Sector Performance - The fintech sector's performance is inversely related to interest rate movements, benefiting from a low-interest-rate environment which supports technological improvement and product innovation [2] - The expansion of mobile and broadband networks, along with advancements in AI and machine learning, positions fintech for significant growth, enhancing banking, payments, and investment solutions [3] Group 2: Recommended Fintech Stocks - Five mid-cap fintech stocks are recommended for investment: EVERTEC Inc. (EVTC), Enova International Inc. (ENVA), LendingClub Corp. (LC), OppFi Inc. (OPFI), and Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH), all of which have favorable Zacks Ranks [4][9] - These stocks are expected to benefit from the Fed's rate cut, with improved earnings estimates for the upcoming year amid growing fintech demand [9] Group 3: Company-Specific Insights - **EVERTEC Inc. (EVTC)**: Engaged in transaction processing primarily in Latin America and the Caribbean, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 5.3% and 4% respectively for next year [7][10] - **Enova International Inc. (ENVA)**: Provides online financial services with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 15.8% and 10.5% respectively for next year [11][12] - **LendingClub Corp. (LC)**: Offers an online marketplace for loans, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 13.2% and 35.7% respectively for next year [13] - **OppFi Inc. (OPFI)**: Provides a financial technology platform for consumer credit access, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 9.1% and 8.6% respectively for next year [14] - **Bread Financial Holdings Inc. (BFH)**: Focuses on personalized financial solutions, with expected revenue growth of 3.3% and a decline in earnings of -9.6% for next year [15][17]

Group 1: OppFi (OPFI) - OppFi provides a financial technology platform that enables banks to assist everyday consumers in accessing credit [1] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and has seen a 10.6% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [1][2] - OppFi has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 6.44, significantly lower than the industry average of 12.40, and holds a Value Score of A [2] Group 2: RenaissanceRe (RNR) - RenaissanceRe primarily offers property-catastrophe reinsurance to insurers and reinsurers globally on an excess of loss basis [2] - The company also carries a Zacks Rank of 1 and has experienced a 43.3% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings over the last 60 days [2][3] - RenaissanceRe has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 7.86, compared to the industry average of 13.20, and possesses a Value Score of B [3]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of OppFi (OPFI) has experienced a significant decline of approximately 26%, dropping from $13.70 to $10.11, despite the company reporting a strong quarterly performance [1]. Company Performance - OppFi has posted another strong quarter, indicating that the underlying business remains robust even as the stock price has fallen [1]. Market Analysis - The analysis emphasizes a disciplined approach to evaluating companies, focusing on numerical data and business fundamentals rather than market narratives [1].

Core Insights - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) shares have increased by 32.5% year-to-date, outperforming its industry which declined by 11.6% and the Zacks S&P 500 Composite which grew by 19.8% [1][7] - The company has consistently raised its earnings guidance for 2025, indicating strong investor confidence in its profitability outlook [9][10] Performance Comparison - Over the past month, OPFI gained 2.2%, surpassing Cantaloupe's 0.2% and Fidelity National Information Services' 1.5% [4] - Year-to-date, OPFI has outperformed Cantaloupe's 11.2% rise and Fidelity National Information Services' 17.4% decline [1][4] Operational Efficiency - OPFI improved its auto approval rate to 79.1% in Q3 2025 from 76.8% in the previous year, contributing to a 500-basis-point decline in total expenses as a percentage of revenues [5] - The company experienced a 13.5% year-over-year increase in revenue, leading to a 136.9% increase in net income [5][7] - Model 6 also reduced net charge-offs as a percentage of total revenues by 430 basis points year-over-year [6] Financial Guidance - For 2025, OPFI expects adjusted net income to range from $106 million to $142 million across the first three quarters, with adjusted EPS projected between $1.18 and $1.60 [9][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OPFI's 2025 revenues is $598 million, reflecting a 13.6% year-over-year growth [15] Valuation Metrics - OPFI is currently priced at 5.99 times forward 12-month earnings per share, significantly below the industry average of 20.1 times [11] - The trailing 12-month EV-to-EBITDA ratio for OPFI is 5.03 times, compared to the industry average of 10.94 times, indicating undervaluation [11] Analyst Confidence - Over the past 60 days, EPS estimates for both 2025 and 2026 have been revised upward, with the 2025 earnings estimate rising by 10.6% [16] - This upward revision trend highlights strong analyst confidence in OPFI's financial performance [16] Investment Recommendation - Given the operational improvements, consistent earnings guidance increases, and undervaluation relative to the industry, OPFI is recommended as a strong buy for investors seeking long-term capital gains [17][18]

Core Insights - OppFi's (OPFI) third-quarter 2025 performance showcases operational efficiency, driven by technology and disciplined cost management, resulting in improved profitability [1] - The company achieved a 13.5% year-over-year revenue growth, indicating sustained customer demand [1][8] Financial Performance - Total expenses saw a marginal increase, but expenses as a percentage of revenues decreased by 500 basis points from the previous year [2] - The implementation of Model 6 and LOLA led to a 230 basis point increase in auto-approval rates, reaching 79.1%, which reduced reliance on human underwriters [2] - Adjusted net income surged by 41.4% year-over-year in Q3 2025, with margins expanding by 500 basis points [3] - Over the nine months ending September 30, adjusted net income increased by 82.7%, translating to a 1,000 basis point margin expansion [3] Operational Efficiency - The disparity between revenue growth and adjusted net income growth highlights operational efficiency, crucial for scaling the business and ensuring long-term profitability [4] - The company's reliance on technology optimizes its cost structure, creating a buffer against credit default risk [5] Guidance and Valuation - Management revised the adjusted net income guidance for the year to $137-$142 million, reflecting confidence in operational performance [5] - OppFi's stock has increased by 27.4% over the past year, outperforming the industry average decline of 12.2% [6] - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 5.77, significantly lower than the industry average of 20.16 [10] - OppFi holds a Value Score of A, while its peers Corpay and Cantaloupe have scores of B and C, respectively [13]

Group 1 - Shares of OppFi Inc. (OPFI) have increased by 1.5% over the past four weeks, closing at $9.76, with a mean price target of $14.5 indicating a potential upside of 48.6% [1] - The mean estimate includes three short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $1.32, where the lowest estimate of $13.50 suggests a 38.3% increase, and the highest estimate of $16.00 indicates a 63.9% increase [2] - Analysts show strong agreement on the company's ability to report better earnings than previously predicted, which supports the view of potential upside [4][11] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has risen by 10.6% over the last 30 days, with two estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [12] - OPFI holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] - While consensus price targets may not be reliable for predicting the extent of gains, they can provide a directional guide for price movement [14]

Core Insights - Both OppFi Inc. (OPFI) and Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU) are fintech companies focusing on consumer lending for underserved populations and emerging credit markets [1] Group 1: OppFi Inc. (OPFI) - OPFI reported Q3 2025 revenues of $155.1 million, reflecting a 13.5% year-over-year growth driven by a 12.5% increase in net originations and a 79% auto approval rate [2][3] - Adjusted net income for OPFI improved by 41.4% year-over-year to $40.7 million, supported by strong revenue growth and disciplined expense management [3] - Management raised 2025 revenue guidance to $590-$605 million and adjusted EPS expectations to $1.54-$1.60, indicating strong demand and operational enhancements [4] - OPFI's forward earnings multiple is 5.68 times, lower than its 12-month median of 6.91 times, making it more attractive to value investors [13] Group 2: Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU) - NU achieved a 39% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, adding 4.3 million new customers, bringing the total to 110.1 million across Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia [5][6] - Gross profit for NU reached $1.8 billion, a 32% increase year-over-year, with a margin expansion to 43.5% [6] - NU's deposits grew by 37.1% year-over-year to $38.8 billion, and its loan portfolio increased by 42% to $30.4 billion, indicating strong asset quality [7] - NU's forward earnings multiple stands at 20.76 times, slightly above its median of 20.71, suggesting a higher valuation compared to OPFI [13] Group 3: Comparative Analysis - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for OPFI's 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year growth of 13.6%, while NU's estimates show a 35.9% increase [9][11] - OPFI's Zacks Rank is 1 (Strong Buy), while NU carries a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a stronger investment appeal for OPFI [17] - Both companies are positioned as compelling fintech players, but OPFI is considered to offer better upside potential due to its lower valuation compared to NU [16]