ON Gears Up to Report Q2 Earnings: What's in the Cards for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - On Semiconductor (ON) is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on August 4, with projected revenues between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) in the range of 48-58 cents, indicating a decline from the previous year [1][10]. Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 revenues is $1.45 billion, reflecting a 16.44% decline from the same quarter last year [1]. - The consensus for earnings is set at 54 cents per share, which represents a 43.75% decrease compared to the prior year's figure [2]. Segment Performance - The automotive segment experienced a sequential decline of 26% in the first quarter of 2025, and is expected to continue declining in the second quarter due to slow EV adoption, supply-chain disruptions, and geopolitical uncertainties [3]. - Conversely, the industrial segment showed signs of recovery, with revenues anticipated to increase in the mid to high single digits sequentially [4]. Pricing and Margin Impact - To maintain market share, ON Semiconductor reduced pricing by low single digits in the first quarter, which is not expected to impact revenues but may affect the bottom line [5]. - The company anticipates a decline in gross margin due to under-absorption of resources and reduced factory utilization in the upcoming quarter [6]. Cost Management Initiatives - A company-wide restructuring initiative in the first quarter led to a 9% workforce reduction and the shutdown of non-manufacturing sites, expected to generate approximately $25 million in cost savings [7]. Earnings Prediction Model - According to the Zacks model, ON has an Earnings ESP of +16.85% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook for an earnings beat [8].