Ge Long Hui·2025-08-01 19:41Core Viewpoint - The company has made significant progress in its innovative transformation, focusing on drug development in oncology, liver disease/metabolism, respiratory, and surgical/pain management, with multiple pipelines showing potential for overseas licensing [1][2][3] Group 1: Innovation and R&D Investment - The company has increased its R&D investment to 17.6% of revenue in 2024, up from 9.9% in 2019 [2] - By the end of 2024, the company has received approval for 17 innovative drugs, with innovative product revenue accounting for 42% of total revenue, compared to 11% in 2015 [2] - The company has averaged over 3 License in transactions per year from 2019 to 2024, enhancing the richness of its innovative drug pipeline [2] Group 2: Product Pipeline and Market Potential - The oncology pipeline includes key products such as Anlotinib, which has received approval for 9 indications and has 4 additional indications submitted for NDA [3] - The company is advancing several promising products, including TQB2102 (HER2 dual antibody ADC) and TQC3721 (PDE3/4 inhibitor), which have significant potential for overseas licensing [3] - The company’s biosimilar drugs have a combined market capacity of 240 billion yuan in 2024, indicating strong growth potential [3][4] Group 3: Financial Projections and Valuation - The company expects revenue growth of 11.4%/10.5%/9.6% for 2025E/26E/27E, with adjusted net profit growth of 12.2%/11.5%/10.5% [4] - The target price is set at 9.40 HKD based on a 10-year DCF model, corresponding to a 37x adjusted PE for 2026 [4]