Core Insights - Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, has sold all his remaining shares and stepped down from the board, marking his retirement after a 50-year investment career [1][8] - Bridgewater has repurchased Dalio's shares and issued new stock to the Brunei sovereign wealth fund, giving it nearly 20% ownership [1] - Dalio warns of a 65% probability of a global debt crisis in the next five years, which could severely impact the dominance of the US dollar [1] Performance - Bridgewater Associates, founded by Dalio in 1975, has become the world's largest hedge fund under his leadership, achieving significant returns during key financial crises [2] - The flagship fund, Pure Alpha, has seen a decline in assets from $168 billion at the end of 2019 to an expected $92.1 billion by the end of 2024, with a cumulative return of only 5.9% over five years [3] - However, after limiting its size, Pure Alpha improved its performance, achieving an 11.3% return in 2024 and 17% in the first half of 2025 [3] Controversies - Dalio's debt theory has faced criticism, particularly regarding his approach to macroeconomic analysis, which some argue is overly simplistic [4][5] - Critics suggest that his view of national debt as a direct precursor to crises does not account for the complexities of macroeconomic behavior and the unique position of the US as the issuer of the world's primary reserve currency [5][6] Legacy - Dalio has emphasized the importance of principles in his investment philosophy, including the need for a culture of transparency and learning from mistakes [8] - He has expressed excitement about the future of Bridgewater without his direct involvement, hoping for continued success under new leadership [8] - Dalio's investment principles highlight the significance of understanding causal relationships, diversification, and the importance of adapting to changing market conditions [10]
达利欧退隐,“潮汐”又起?
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-08-02 03:25