达利欧退隐，七大投资原则备受关注

Core Insights - Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, has sold all his remaining shares and stepped down from the board, marking his retirement after a 50-year investment career [1][2][9] - Bridgewater has repurchased Dalio's shares and issued new stock to the Brunei sovereign wealth fund, giving it nearly 20% ownership [2] - Dalio warns of a 65% probability of a global debt crisis in the next five years, which could severely impact the dominance of the US dollar [2][4] Company Performance - Under Dalio's leadership, Bridgewater became the largest hedge fund globally, achieving significant returns, including over 14% in 2008 and more than 40% in 2010 [3] - However, Bridgewater's assets have decreased from $168 billion at the end of 2019 to $92.1 billion by the end of 2024 [4] - The flagship fund, Pure Alpha, has seen a cumulative return of only 5.9% over five years, but improved performance with an 11.3% return in 2024 and 17% in the first half of 2025 [4] Investment Philosophy - Dalio emphasizes understanding the causal relationships driving changes in the economy, which can help investors predict future events [4][11] - He advocates for a systematic approach to decision-making, including backtesting and computerization of investment strategies [4][11] - Dalio's investment principles include diversification, seeking out differing opinions, and ensuring the probability of unacceptable losses is zero [11] Future Outlook - Dalio believes that five major forces will reshape the world in the coming years, leading to significant changes in the investment landscape [11][12] - He expresses confidence in the next generation of talent at Bridgewater to continue its legacy and achieve future success [9][10]