8月非农数据（NFP）已出，今年还会降息几次？BTC突破18万美金还有戏吗？

Group 1 - The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) is a key economic indicator released monthly by the U.S. Department of Labor, reflecting employment growth outside the agricultural sector [3][4] - NFP data significantly influences traditional financial markets, including stocks, bonds, and commodities, and is increasingly impacting the cryptocurrency market [4][22] - The relationship between NFP data and cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) is becoming more pronounced, as these assets are now viewed similarly to risk assets and gold [4][22] Group 2 - Strong NFP data typically leads to expectations of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which can pressure risk assets like BTC, while weak data may enhance expectations for rate cuts, benefiting these assets [7][8] - The correlation between NFP data and cryptocurrency prices is evident, with altcoins often experiencing more volatility than BTC due to lower liquidity [8][5] - The increasing participation of institutional investors in the cryptocurrency market is tying BTC and ETH prices more closely to macroeconomic indicators [4][22] Group 3 - In August, BTC experienced a pullback, testing a critical support level of $112,000, with expectations of a subsequent upward trend aligned with potential rate cuts in September [17][19] - ETH also faced a decline but is expected to test higher resistance levels, with significant trading volume indicating strong market interest from institutional investors [19][22] - The upcoming NFP data release is anticipated to influence both traditional and cryptocurrency markets, highlighting the interconnectedness of these financial ecosystems [21][22]