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真被中方说中,特朗普高兴不到一天,噩耗就来了,美国经济要崩?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-03 00:34

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of the "reciprocal tariff" policy by Trump was initially perceived as a significant victory, but it quickly led to a global market downturn, highlighting the negative consequences of such trade policies [2][12]. Group 1: Market Reactions - On August 1, major U.S. stock indices experienced significant declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 542 points (1.23%), the S&P 500 falling 1.60%, and the Nasdaq down 2.24% [3]. - The U.S. stock market has seen a cumulative decline of over 2.5% over the past week, resulting in a market capitalization loss of nearly $1 trillion [5]. - The U.S. dollar index fell below the 100 mark, indicating a loss of confidence among international investors, while gold prices surged over 2% to $3,362.64 per ounce [5][6]. Group 2: Economic Data and Employment - The U.S. non-farm payroll report revealed only 73,000 new jobs added in July, significantly below the expected 100,000, with prior months' data also revised downward [8]. - The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and there is a noted decline in corporate hiring intentions, leading to increased concerns about job availability and rising living costs [12][14]. Group 3: Policy Implications - The "reciprocal tariff" policy marks a more aggressive phase in U.S. trade policy, with new tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% imposed on several countries [6][8]. - Trump's response to negative employment data included accusations against the U.S. Labor Statistics Bureau of manipulating data, reflecting a lack of accountability for policy outcomes [10][12]. - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) warned that the U.S. trade war and tariff policies are damaging the global trade system and increasing geopolitical risks [10][12]. Group 4: Domestic and International Reactions - Domestic opposition to Trump's tariff policies is growing, with California Governor Newsom criticizing the approach for deepening economic troubles [14]. - China's response emphasized the futility of tariff wars, reiterating that such measures harm both the imposing country and its trading partners [11][16].