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和恒咨询:2025年央国企(A股)上市公司市值战略研究报告
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-03 01:52

Core Insights - The report analyzes the market value strategy of central state-owned enterprises (SOEs) listed on A-shares for 2024, highlighting their strong performance in the capital market, with the Central Enterprise 100 Index outperforming the broader market by 28.13 percentage points since early 2021 [1][9][18] - The essence of market value management is to "create value and raise expectations," with a focus on value creation, shaping, and management, while the overall score for value creation remains below passing [1][10][26] - The report emphasizes the importance of expectation management, which includes expectation dissemination, stability, and release, with scores indicating areas of strength and improvement [1][11][26] Group 1: Overall Situation of Central SOEs - As of July 15, 2025, there are 1,553 central SOEs listed on A-shares, accounting for 28.66% of the total A-share market, with a total market value of 59.04 trillion, representing 55.34% of the A-share market [18] - The Central Enterprise 100 Index has shown a significant recovery, with a 4.72 percentage point increase since early 2021, indicating a shift from "value depression" to "value reconstruction" [9][18] - Despite improvements, the valuation of central SOEs remains low, with 261 companies trading below net asset value, highlighting a mismatch between market valuation and strategic value [18][22] Group 2: Value Management Analysis - Value creation for central SOEs is under pressure, with a score of 40.49, indicating insufficient cash generation capabilities as a key constraint [1][10] - Value shaping has improved, with a score of 43.31, primarily driven by external factors such as policy benefits and market preferences [1][10] - Active value management practices, including mergers, buybacks, and shareholding increases, have been noted, with a stronger linkage between equity incentives and market value management [1][10][11] Group 3: Expectation Management Analysis - Expectation dissemination has shown positive trends, with a score of 57.49, indicating a strong presence of institutional investors [1][11] - Expectation stability scored 79.68, suggesting a need for continued foundational work to maintain this stability [1][11] - Expectation release scored 39.83, slightly above the A-share average, with improvements in ROIC and net profit growth, although declining dividend yields have negatively impacted overall performance [1][11] Group 4: Recommendations for Market Value Management - The report suggests implementing strategies focused on "quality improvement, efficiency enhancement, and return maximization," alongside building organizational processes and quantifying market value management tools [2][5] - A ranking of value management, expectation management, and market value strategy effectiveness is provided to guide enterprises [2][5]