央行紧急行动，散户别碰中小盘！美联储9月降息前，机构在狂买这些股票

Group 1 - The global liquidity turning point has been reached, and a new round of market trends in A-shares is potentially on the horizon [1][9] - International capital has already sensed this change, with $3 billion flowing into overseas China ETFs on July 29, 80% of which went to A50 index constituents [3] - Global funds have shifted their allocation to Chinese stocks from underweight to overweight, with an increase of 1.2 percentage points [3] Group 2 - The release of the July non-farm payroll data caused significant market reactions, with the June data being revised down from 147,000 to 14,000, a correction exceeding 90% [4] - The disappointing July non-farm report, showing only 73,000 new jobs, led to a surge in the probability of a Fed rate cut in September from 40% to 82% [4][6] - Major investment banks like Goldman Sachs and Citigroup have adjusted their forecasts, predicting multiple rate cuts by the Fed [6] Group 3 - The market reacted sharply, with the dollar index dropping 1.05%, marking the largest single-day decline in three months, while international gold prices surged 1.8% to over $2,280 per ounce [6] - Despite a drop in the Shanghai Composite Index, northbound capital saw a net inflow of 4.7 billion yuan on August 1, focusing on brokerage and gold stocks [6][7] - In July, northbound capital's net buying reached over 60 billion yuan, with a focus on brokerages, insurance, and leading consumer stocks [6] Group 4 - The impact of rate cuts on A-shares is not uniform; historical data suggests that while the SSE 50 Index may rise, the CSI 2000 Index could fall [7] - Brokerages reported strong performance in July, with Guotai Junan's mid-year report projecting a 210% increase, leading to significant institutional buying [7] - The gold market is also seeing increased activity, with the People's Bank of China increasing gold reserves for eight consecutive months, surpassing 2,280 tons [9] Group 5 - For ordinary investors, choosing appropriate investment tools is crucial in this complex market environment, with index funds being a preferred option [9] - The CSI 300 ETF saw net subscriptions exceeding 12 billion yuan in July, with institutional holdings at 85% [9] - The brokerage ETF benefits from policy support and strong performance, with leading brokerages averaging a price-to-earnings ratio of only 12 times [9]