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1 AI Robotics Stock to Buy Before It Soars 758% to $8 Trillion, According to a Wall Street Analyst
TeslaTesla(US:TSLA) The Motley Foolยท2025-08-03 08:01

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is facing challenges with declining market share and weak demand, yet analysts project significant future growth, with estimates suggesting a potential market value of $8.3 trillion by 2029 driven by advancements in autonomous driving and robotics [1][5][12]. Group 1: Current Market Position - Tesla shares have dropped 25% year to date, currently valued at $976 billion, amid increasing competition and negative consumer sentiment towards CEO Elon Musk's political views [1][4]. - The company has lost market share in electric vehicles, accounting for only 10% of battery electric vehicle sales through May, down from 16% the previous year [4]. Group 2: Future Growth Projections - Ark Invest analysts predict Tesla stock could reach $2,600 per share by 2029, implying a market value of $8.3 trillion, representing a 758% upside from the current price of $303 [5]. - Other analysts, including Wedbush's Dan Ives, forecast Tesla could become a $2 trillion company within 12 months, indicating a 105% upside from its current valuation [5]. - Elon Musk has suggested that Tesla could eventually be valued at $30 trillion, reflecting a potential 2,975% upside from its current market value [5]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Tesla's second-quarter results showed a 13% decrease in deliveries and a 12% decline in revenue to $22 billion, with non-GAAP earnings falling 23% to $0.40 per diluted share [6][12]. - Musk indicated that the next few quarters may be challenging as the company focuses on scaling its autonomous driving business [7]. Group 4: Autonomous Driving and Robotics Potential - Tesla is developing its autonomous driving software, which could provide a competitive edge over market leader Waymo due to its vision-only approach [7][8]. - Musk believes Tesla could capture 99% of the autonomous ride-hailing market, projected to be a trillion-dollar industry in about 15 years [9]. - The company is also working on a humanoid robot, Optimus, which Musk claims could represent a $10 trillion opportunity for Tesla [10]. Group 5: Revenue Composition and Valuation - Ark Invest estimates that by 2029, robotaxis could account for over 60% of Tesla's revenue, with electric car sales contributing less than 30% [11]. - Despite current high valuations, Wall Street anticipates Tesla's earnings will grow by 20% annually over the next three to five years, with some projections suggesting EBITDA could increase by over 3,000% to $440 billion by 2029 [12][13].