中国顶住美国压力，普京万没料到，莫迪跪得这么快，俄石油被放弃

Core Insights - A significant shift in global energy dynamics is occurring, primarily influenced by the complex interplay between the U.S., Russia, and India, with India's abrupt change in stance on Russian oil imports drawing global attention [1][3][6] Group 1: U.S. Influence - U.S. President Trump's declaration that India has ceased importing Russian oil has sent shockwaves through the global market, highlighting the unexpected nature of India's pivot [3] - The U.S. has adopted a hardline approach, threatening secondary sanctions on countries engaging in energy trade with Russia, effectively using trade as a diplomatic tool [3][9] - The U.S. strategy aims to undermine Russia's economic stability while enhancing its own influence in the global energy market [9][11] Group 2: India's Position - India's response to the situation has been cautious and ambiguous, with official statements indicating adjustments based on market conditions without outright denying the reduction in Russian oil imports [4][6] - Major Indian state-owned oil companies have reportedly reduced or halted imports from Russia, influenced by escalating U.S. tariff threats and diminishing discounts on Russian oil [4][6] - This shift is seen as a strategic decision rather than a mere market reaction, reflecting India's balancing act between economic interests and geopolitical pressures [6][9] Group 3: Russia's Reaction - Russia is taken aback by India's sudden change, especially given India's previous role as a key buyer amidst Western sanctions [6][9] - The loss of India as a significant oil buyer could severely impact Russia's energy strategy and its efforts to establish a "de-Westernized" energy network [9][11] - The situation poses a potential domino effect in the global energy market, as other nations may reconsider their energy ties with Russia due to the risk of sanctions [9][12] Group 4: China's Stability - In contrast to India's indecision, China has maintained a stable energy partnership with Russia, demonstrating its strategic autonomy in energy security [7][11] - China's unwavering cooperation with Russia amidst U.S. pressures provides a counterbalance to the shifting dynamics involving India [7][11] Group 5: Future Implications - The ongoing energy turmoil is not just an economic issue but also a matter of global power rebalancing, with oil becoming a diplomatic leverage point [12] - The future trajectory of energy procurement by India, the implementation of U.S. sanctions, and China's evolving role will be critical factors in shaping the outcome of this geopolitical contest [11][12]