Cosunter(SZ:300436) Hua Xia Shi Bao·2025-08-04 06:19Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Guangshentang experienced a dramatic surge of nearly 220% in July, driven by excitement over an innovative hepatitis B drug, GST-HG131, which has not yet been launched. However, the company continues to face significant operational challenges and has reported continuous losses over the past four years [1][2][5]. Stock Performance - Guangshentang's stock closed at 114.5 yuan per share on July 31, marking a record high for the company in nearly a decade. However, it fell by 10.66% to 102.3 yuan on August 1 [1]. - The company has issued multiple announcements regarding abnormal stock price fluctuations, indicating a cumulative deviation of over 30% in stock price over three consecutive trading days [2]. Drug Development - The surge in stock price is attributed to the announcement that GST-HG131 would be included in the list of breakthrough therapies by the National Medical Products Administration. This drug is the only oral HBsAg inhibitor to have completed Phase II clinical trials globally [2][4]. - Another innovative drug, GST-HG141, has also been recognized as a breakthrough therapy and is currently in Phase III clinical trials [4]. Financial Performance - Guangshentang has faced declining net profits since 2021, with cumulative losses reaching 696 million yuan over four years. The losses for each year were 35 million yuan, 127 million yuan, 349 million yuan, and 156 million yuan, respectively [5]. - Despite some revenue growth in liver and cardiovascular drugs, which account for over 80% of the company's main business income, these gains have not been sufficient to offset the overall losses [5]. Challenges in Commercialization - The company's first innovative drug, Taizhongding, was approved for sale in November 2023 but has underperformed in sales, generating only 50.02 million yuan from 2023 to the first quarter of 2025 against a total investment of approximately 470 million yuan [7][8]. - The company has faced significant asset impairment losses related to Taizhongding, contributing to the widening of losses in 2024 [9][10]. Financial Health - Guangshentang's financial situation is precarious, with negative cash flow from operating activities for three consecutive years and a significant increase in the debt-to-asset ratio from 27.44% in 2021 to 73.45% by the first quarter of 2025 [12]. - The company has initiated a new round of financing, aiming to raise up to 977 million yuan to support innovative drug development and alleviate liquidity issues [11][12]. Future Outlook - The upcoming financing is seen as a critical move to address liquidity challenges, but it also poses high risks. Without substantial breakthroughs in drug development or market expansion, ongoing financial losses could exacerbate the company's debt situation [13].