10年前专家预测：开放二胎，中国新生人口将会激增！最后却被打脸

Group 1 - The article discusses the significant decline in China's birth rate despite previous predictions of a baby boom following the implementation of the two-child policy [2][19][25] - In 2016, the first year of the "single two-child" policy, the birth rate increased to 17.86 million, but subsequent years saw a sharp decline, with 2023 recording only 9.02 million births [21][23] - Experts had predicted a sustained increase in births, estimating an annual addition of 20 million newborns, but the reality has shown a drastic drop, highlighting a gap between expectations and actual outcomes [14][25][27] Group 2 - The article outlines the historical context of China's population growth, noting a significant increase in births during the 1960s and 1970s, followed by the introduction of family planning policies [4][8][10] - The shift in societal attitudes towards family size and child-rearing costs has contributed to the declining birth rate, with many young people citing financial burdens as a primary reason for not having children [29][34][36] - The rising costs associated with raising children, including education and housing, have created a significant deterrent for young couples considering parenthood [31][32][34]