美专家警告美国，若不发生战争，与中国搞零和博弈，是一个大错误

Group 1 - The article discusses the renewed tensions in US-China relations following Trump's return to the White House, particularly focusing on the imposition of 10% tariffs on all Chinese goods in early 2025 [1][16] - Joseph Nye, a prominent scholar in international relations, warns that a zero-sum game approach between the US and China could lead to severe strategic miscalculations, emphasizing that the world has changed since the Cold War [3][5][12] - The article highlights the interdependence of the US and Chinese economies, noting that in 2024, the trade volume between the two countries reached $688.3 billion, with over 70,000 American companies operating in China [16][18] Group 2 - The article outlines the challenges faced by US companies in abandoning the Chinese market, as many rely heavily on it for sales, with major exports like soybeans and cotton significantly dependent on China [18][22] - It emphasizes China's advantages, including a large domestic market, a comprehensive industrial system, and efficient government policies that allow for quick responses to economic challenges [22][24] - The concept of "positive-sum game" is introduced, where cooperation is encouraged to expand mutual benefits, contrasting with the adversarial approach taken by the US [26][28] Group 3 - The article warns of the potential for small conflicts to escalate into larger crises, drawing parallels to historical events that led to global wars, highlighting the need for strategic foresight [30][35] - It suggests that the US's outdated strategic thinking is causing self-inflicted harm, as decision-makers fail to recognize the interconnected nature of the current global economy [43][45] - The article concludes with a call for US policymakers to heed Nye's warnings and work towards stabilizing US-China relations for mutual benefit [45]