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Earnings Preview: Ellington Credit (EARN) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - Ellington Credit (EARN) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, which could significantly influence its near-term stock price depending on how actual results compare to consensus estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Ellington Credit's quarterly earnings is $0.21 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 41.7%. Revenues are projected to be $9.68 million, representing a substantial increase of 148.2% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial projections during this period [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Ellington Credit aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Ellington Credit was expected to post earnings of $0.27 per share but delivered $0.26, resulting in a surprise of -3.70%. Over the past four quarters, the company has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times [13][14]. Industry Comparison - Another player in the REIT and Equity Trust industry, Ready Capital (RC), is expected to report a loss of $0.01 per share for the same quarter, indicating a year-over-year change of -114.3%. Its revenues are expected to decline by 24.8% to $38.32 million, with a recent 5.9% downward revision in the consensus EPS estimate [18][19].