Should You Add DAVE Stock to Your Portfolio Pre-Q2 Earnings?

Core Insights - Dave Inc. (DAVE) is set to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 6, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to rise by 88.1% year-over-year to $1.9, and revenues projected at $112.7 million, indicating a 40.7% growth compared to the previous year [1][6]. Financial Performance - The consensus estimate for Q2 EPS is $1.90, unchanged over the past 60 days, while revenue estimates have shown a slight downward revision [2]. - DAVE has a strong earnings surprise history, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 274.5% [2]. Membership Growth and Revenue Drivers - DAVE reported 12.4 million members in Q1 2025, an increase of 569,000 from the previous year, driven by a new flat fee structure for ExtraCash transactions [5]. - The new fee model has improved monetization and conversion rates, contributing positively to user acquisition and retention [5][16]. Stock Performance - DAVE's stock has surged 661.1% over the past year, significantly outperforming its industry growth of 71.2% and the S&P 500's 20.8% increase [6][7]. - The current trailing 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for DAVE is 22.01X, slightly below the industry average of 22.9X, but higher than peers like Jamf and Inspired Entertainment [9]. Profitability and Liquidity - DAVE exhibits strong profitability with a trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 59.2%, compared to the industry average of 6.7%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 26.7% [12]. - The company maintains a robust liquidity position with a current ratio of 8.59, significantly higher than the industry average of 1.84, indicating strong short-term financial health [12]. Market Position and Risks - DAVE serves the underbanked population, capitalizing on the growing neobank market and mobile banking trends, presenting significant growth opportunities [13]. - The company has implemented CashAI, a proprietary underwriting technology, which has improved ExtraCash origination by 46% year-over-year to $1.5 billion in Q1 2025 [14]. - Despite these strengths, DAVE's focus on subprime customers poses inherent risks, as this demographic is more susceptible to default [15][17].