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东方财富证券:中国宏桥一体化优势和高股息属性突出 首予“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-05 04:47

Core Viewpoint - The company has established a complete aluminum product industry chain and is one of the world's leading aluminum manufacturers, with a focus on vertical integration and sustainability [2][3]. Group 1: Industry Chain and Capacity - The company has built a complete closed-loop industry chain from bauxite mining to aluminum deep processing, including recycling and automotive components [2]. - The company currently has an electrolytic aluminum production capacity of 6.459 million tons, ranking second in China, and an alumina production capacity of 21 million tons [2][3]. - The company is implementing a "north aluminum south move" strategy to align with green trends, with plans to relocate electrolytic aluminum capacity from Shandong to Yunnan, expecting capacities of 3.451 million tons and 3.008 million tons respectively by 2027 [3]. Group 2: Cost and Supply Chain Management - The company has a self-sufficient power supply rate of approximately 50% due to its self-built thermal power plants, which helps in cost savings [3]. - The alumina required for production in Shandong is mainly self-produced, while the Yunnan region sources alumina externally [3]. - The company has established stable supply channels for bauxite from Guinea, Australia, and Indonesia, ensuring a steady supply of raw materials [3][4]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Dividends - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 22.64 billion, 24.21 billion, and 25.39 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.44, 2.61, and 2.73 yuan [5]. - The company has a high dividend yield, projected at 6.7%, 10%, and 13.6% for 2022 to 2024, indicating a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [5]. Group 4: Technological Advancements and Sustainability - The company has advanced aluminum deep processing technology and is actively developing recycled aluminum and circular economy projects [7]. - The company completed a 20,000-ton waste aluminum recycling project in 2023, aiming to become a competitive player in the green aluminum packaging industry [7].