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智通港股解盘 | 市场大炒美联储9月降息 集采内卷强化创新药逻辑
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-05 12:53

Market Overview - US stock indices rebounded, influenced positively by Trump's market support, leading to a 0.68% rise in Hong Kong stocks [1] - San Francisco Fed President Daly indicated that the timing for interest rate cuts is approaching, with expectations for two 25 basis point cuts this year [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts three consecutive 25 basis point cuts starting in September, with a potential 50 basis point cut if unemployment rises further [1] Domestic Market Sentiment - A-share new account openings in July reached 1.96 million, a 71% year-on-year increase, indicating rising domestic confidence [2] - The stock of Upwind New Materials surged 20% after resuming trading, reigniting market enthusiasm [2] - The steel sector saw a significant rise, with Maanshan Iron & Steel's stock increasing over 15% due to improved loss forecasts and supportive policies [2] Industry Trends - The paper industry is experiencing a price increase, with major companies like Nine Dragons Paper and Lee & Man Paper announcing price hikes [2] - The eleventh batch of centralized drug procurement in China saw a record 45 companies applying for the same drug, intensifying competition in the generic drug market [3] - Investment is shifting towards innovative drugs, with companies like Junshi Biosciences seeing stock increases of nearly 34% due to promising clinical trials [3] Financial Support for Key Industries - A joint guideline from the central bank and seven departments aims to support financing for key manufacturing sectors, including integrated circuits and medical equipment [4] - AI-related companies like Longi Green Energy and Lenovo's server business are seeing stock increases due to new orders and market interest [4] Gaming Industry Performance - The domestic gaming market is projected to reach RMB 168 billion in sales by the first half of 2025, a 14.08% year-on-year increase [4] - Heartbeat Games anticipates a revenue increase of approximately 37% for the first half of 2025, driven by strong performance from self-developed games [4] Individual Company Highlights - Tencent's mobile game "Valorant: Source Action" is set to launch on August 19, with projected annual revenue exceeding RMB 6 billion [5] - Oriental Selection's stock surged nearly 17% ahead of its upcoming financial report, reflecting strong market performance [6] - The Macau gaming sector is experiencing a positive trend, with Morgan Stanley raising its revenue growth forecast for the year from 5% to 10% [6] Technological Advancements - Apple's breakthrough in brain-computer interface (BCI) technology allows users to control devices through thought, indicating a significant market opportunity [7] - The Chinese BCI market is expected to exceed RMB 3.8 billion by 2025, with a CAGR of approximately 20% [7] Investment Opportunities - Kelun-Bio has become a top holding in a major fund, indicating strong market confidence in its innovative drug pipeline [8] - The company has established multiple technology platforms and is expected to accelerate commercialization in 2025 [8]