Workflow
Take-Two Set to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?

Core Insights - Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) is set to release its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on August 7, with expected GAAP net revenues between $1.35 billion and $1.40 billion, and a GAAP net loss per share anticipated between 78 cents and 65 cents [1][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTWO's fiscal first-quarter revenues is $1.28 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.42% [1][2] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for earnings is 26 cents per share, unchanged over the past 30 days, showing an improvement from the previous year's earnings of 5 cents [2] - TTWO has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 121.1% [2] Key Factors Influencing Performance - Take-Two's gaming portfolio and recurrent consumer spending model are expected to benefit from sustained franchise engagement, particularly in core console franchises and live service titles [3] - NBA 2K is projected to maintain engagement due to strong fiscal 2025 performance, with monetization from virtual currency and MyTEAM contributing significantly [4] - Zynga's mobile portfolio is expected to show mixed performance, with newer titles like Match Factory and Color Block Jam contributing to bookings, while mature games like Words With Friends may see a decline [4] Challenges and Constraints - Grand Theft Auto Online bookings are expected to decline modestly year over year due to platform maturity and late-cycle usage trends, although engagement is likely supported through GTA+ and content updates [5] - Seasonal softness in the spring quarter and high mobile acquisition costs are anticipated to limit margin improvement, with operating expenses projected to rise by 3% year over year [6][9] Earnings Model Insights - According to the Zacks model, TTWO currently has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a neutral outlook for an earnings beat [7]