Should You Buy, Hold or Sell Realty Income Stock Ahead of Q2 Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - Realty Income Corporation (O) is expected to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 6, with adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) estimated at $1.06 per share and revenues at $1.40 billion, indicating a year-over-year revenue increase of 4.2% but no growth in AFFO per share [1][2][7]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for second-quarter 2025 AFFO per share has remained unchanged at $1.06, suggesting no growth year over year [2]. - The estimated revenues for the current year are projected at $5.61 billion, reflecting a 6.5% increase year over year [2]. - Over the past four quarters, Realty Income's AFFO per share has surpassed estimates once, met them twice, and missed once [4]. Operational Insights - Realty Income maintains a high occupancy rate of 98.5%, which is expected to remain above 98% for the full year, supporting stable cash flow and earnings [9]. - The company's diversified portfolio includes essential-service tenants, which ensures dependable rental income [8][10]. - Strategic expansions into sectors like data centers and gaming, along with European market entry, are anticipated to contribute to revenue growth [10]. Strategic Initiatives - Realty Income's investments in Encore Boston Harbor and Bellagio Las Vegas, along with a partnership with Digital Realty, highlight its focus on long-term growth and diversification [10]. - The company targets $4 billion in investments for 2025, indicating a proactive approach to portfolio enhancement [10]. Financial Health - As of March 31, 2025, Realty Income holds strong investment-grade credit ratings (A3 from Moody's and A- from S&P), indicating a solid financial position [11]. - The company has a manageable net debt of approximately $27.64 billion and a well-structured debt maturity schedule, which enhances financial flexibility [11][13]. Market Performance - Realty Income's shares have increased by 7.6% year-to-date, closing at $57.45, while the Zacks REIT and Equity Trust - Retail industry has declined by 10.0% [14]. - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-FFO of 13.19X, which is below the industry average of 14.58X, suggesting a potential valuation opportunity [16]. Investment Appeal - Realty Income offers a blend of income stability and long-term growth potential, supported by its diversified portfolio and essential-service tenant base [17]. - The company has a dividend yield of 5.62%, making it attractive for income-focused investors [17].