英国国家经济社会研究院：英国政府或将依赖增税来避免打破预算规则

Core Viewpoint - The UK government is likely to breach its fiscal rules unless it announces tax increases or spending cuts in the upcoming budget plan later this year [1] Group 1: Economic Forecast - The National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) predicts that inflation in the UK may remain high throughout the year [1] - NIESR expects the Bank of England to lower borrowing costs on Thursday and to cut interest rates again before the end of the year [1] Group 2: Fiscal Situation - NIESR forecasts that tax revenues will fall short of regular expenditures by £41.2 billion for the fiscal year ending in March 2030, violating one of the government's fiscal rules [1] - Stephen Millard, NIESR's Deputy Director for Macroeconomics, stated that the Chancellor of the Exchequer faces a challenging situation and will need to implement tax increases or spending cuts, or both, in the budget to comply with fiscal rules [1]