美联储降息救市！今日爆出五大消息已发酵！

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the unprecedented challenges facing the U.S. dollar's dominance, driven by political pressures, market expectations, and economic realities, particularly in the context of the Federal Reserve's recent decisions and the global economic landscape [1][15]. Group 1: Federal Reserve's Dilemma - The Federal Reserve's meeting on July 29 revealed a stark reality, with a 96.9% probability of maintaining interest rates and a 62.6% chance of a rate cut in September, amidst rising concerns over the $37 trillion in national debt interest payments [1][15]. - Internal divisions within the Federal Reserve were evident, with three factions emerging: dovish members advocating for immediate rate cuts, a majority concerned about persistent inflation, and hawkish members insisting on maintaining high rates to combat inflation [5][14]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Following former President Trump's call for a 300 basis point rate cut, market reactions were swift, with the probability of Powell's dismissal rising from 16% to 26%, gold prices surging by $20, and the dollar index dropping by 25 points [4]. - The bond market faced turmoil as the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield surpassed 5%, indicating a "long-term high interest rate era," with significant implications for government interest payments [6]. Group 3: Global Economic Implications - The article discusses the acceleration of "de-dollarization," with global central banks selling U.S. Treasuries and accumulating gold at unprecedented rates, indicating a shift in confidence away from the dollar [11]. - The tech sector showed resilience, with Nvidia's stock soaring after the approval of AI chip exports to China, while global trade tensions persisted, exemplified by new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration [8]. Group 4: Historical Significance - The Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates, despite two dissenting votes for an immediate cut, marked a historic moment, reflecting the heightened uncertainty in the current economic climate [14]. - The market's mixed reactions to the Fed's announcement, with the Dow Jones falling nearly 1% while the Nasdaq reached new highs, underscored the volatility and divergent sentiments in the financial markets [14].