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TransDigm (TDG) Q3 Margin Hits 54%

Core Viewpoint - TransDigm Group reported Q3 FY2025 earnings that fell short of analyst expectations, with revenue of $2,237 million and non-GAAP earnings per share of $9.60, despite achieving record profit margins and improved guidance for future profitability [1][12]. Financial Performance - Q3 FY2025 non-GAAP EPS was $9.60, below the estimate of $9.89, but up 6.7% from $9.00 in Q3 FY2024 [2]. - GAAP revenue was $2,237 million, missing the estimate of $2,297.93 million, but representing a 9.3% increase from $2,046 million in Q3 FY2024 [2]. - Net income (GAAP) reached $493 million, a 6.9% increase from $461 million in Q3 FY2024 [2]. - EBITDA As Defined was $1,217 million, up 11.6% from $1,091 million in the prior year, with a margin of 54.4%, improving by 1.1 percentage points year-over-year [2][6]. Business Model and Market Position - TransDigm Group specializes in proprietary aerospace components, with approximately 90% of net sales in FY2024 derived from proprietary products [3]. - The company generates about 55% of its net sales from aftermarket services, driven by long-term aircraft maintenance and repair needs [4]. Segment Performance - The commercial aftermarket segment showed strong growth across all submarkets, particularly in engine and freight components, which exceeded the overall 13% growth in aftermarket sales [7]. - Defense bookings outpaced sales, indicating a positive outlook for future demand across various product types [8][9]. Strategic Moves - TransDigm completed the acquisition of Servotronics and agreed to acquire Simmonds Precision Products for approximately $765 million, focusing on businesses with strong aftermarket potential [10]. - The company repurchased 105,567 shares for $131 million and refinanced $2.65 billion of debt, enhancing financial flexibility [11]. Guidance and Outlook - Management updated full-year GAAP revenue guidance to a range of $8.76–$8.82 billion, reflecting anticipated weakness in commercial OEM sales, while increasing non-GAAP EBITDA guidance by $40 million [12][13]. - Expectations for commercial aftermarket revenue growth remain in the high single-digit to low double-digit range, with defense sales projected to grow similarly [13].