“懂王”震怒，将大幅提高印度关税！美联储新任主席或公布？

Group 1 - The article discusses the escalation of trade tensions between the US and various countries, particularly India and the EU, due to proposed tariff increases by President Trump [3][4][6]. - Trump announced plans to significantly raise tariffs on Indian goods, currently at 25%, in response to India's purchase of Russian oil [3][4]. - The EU is also facing potential tariff increases, with Trump threatening a rise to 35% if obligations are not met, up from a previous rate of 15% [5][6]. Group 2 - Brazil's President Lula vowed to defend the country's interests against new US tariffs, asserting that the US has no right to impose a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods [7][8]. - Brazil plans to utilize all available resources, including the WTO, to challenge the US's tariff actions [8]. - Despite the recent tariff deadlines, trade disputes continue, with ongoing litigation and negotiations expected [9]. Group 3 - The article highlights concerns from economists regarding the negative impact of tariffs on the US economy, predicting a slowdown in growth and an increase in unemployment rates by 2025 and 2026 [12][13]. - The Yale Budget Lab estimates that tariffs could reduce the US GDP growth rate by 0.5 percentage points annually and increase the unemployment rate by 0.3 to 0.7 percentage points by the end of 2026 [12]. - Tariffs are expected to raise average household spending in the US by $2,400 by 2025, particularly affecting clothing prices [13]. Group 4 - The article mentions the potential announcement of a new Federal Reserve chair by Trump, indicating dissatisfaction with current monetary policy [14]. - Market expectations for a rate cut in September have surged, with a 89% probability of a 25 basis point cut, while some analysts warn against this consensus [14][15]. - The labor market shows signs of cooling, with over 800,000 foreign workers leaving the US, but the unemployment rate remains stable [15].