Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-08-06 09:19Core Viewpoint - The report from Citi indicates that Chinese telecom stocks are expected to show stable profitability and dividend returns despite a slowdown in revenue growth due to macroeconomic factors and market saturation [1] Industry Summary - The Chinese telecom sector is projected to experience a revenue growth slowdown to approximately 1% to 2% for the mid-2025 period, primarily influenced by weak industrial internet revenue and cautious customer behavior [1] - The demand for AI cloud products is rising due to the AI trend, but telecom operators' offerings in this area are not yet mature [1] - The mobile service revenue is facing pressures from market saturation and intensified competition [1] Company Summary - China Mobile (00941), China Telecom (00728), and China Unicom (00762) are expected to report mid-term service revenue growth of 1.3%, 1.1%, and 2.4%, reaching RMB 469 billion, RMB 249 billion, and RMB 180 billion respectively [1] - Net profit forecasts for these companies are projected to grow by 3.4%, 7%, and 8.8%, amounting to RMB 82.9 billion, RMB 23.3 billion, and RMB 15 billion respectively [1] - The anticipated dividend yield for China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom is expected to be 6.4%, 5%, and 5.6% respectively [1] - Citi has selected China Mobile as the top pick due to its higher dividend yield and has assigned "outperform" ratings to China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom with target prices of HKD 86, HKD 6.2, and HKD 9.5 respectively [1]