Aris Mining to Post Q2 Earnings: What's in the Cards for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) is expected to report its second-quarter 2025 results on August 7, following a trend of missing earnings estimates in the previous four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 30.7% [1][10]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - ARMN has missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in each of the last four quarters, with a negative earnings surprise of 11.1% in the most recent quarter [1][10]. - The consensus estimate for ARMN's second-quarter earnings is currently pegged at 32 cents, with an Earnings ESP of 0.00% [11]. Group 2: Production and Sales - The company is anticipated to benefit from increased gold production in the second quarter, primarily driven by the Segovia Operations in Colombia [4][7]. - Consolidated gold production for the second quarter rose by 7% year over year to 58,652 ounces, while total gold sales increased by 12% compared to the prior-year quarter [5]. - For the first half of 2025, consolidated production climbed 13% year over year, reaching 113,415 ounces, with Segovia Operations seeing a production increase of 12% to 99,076 ounces [5][8]. Group 3: Gold Prices Impact - Higher gold prices, which closed the second quarter above $3,300 per ounce, are expected to have positively influenced ARMN's performance [7][9]. - Gold prices reached a record high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22, driven by safe-haven demand amid global trade tensions and geopolitical issues [9].