Key Takeaways Aris Mining's Q3 2025 AISC at Segovia rose 6.6% YoY to $1,641 per ounce amid higher costs.ARMN faced higher mill feed, royalties and social costs, plus a second mill ramp-up.Aris Mining lifted AISC margin 36% sequentially and 42% YoY on stronger gold prices.Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) has been subject to rising operating costs over time. In third-quarter 2025, the company’s all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) per ounce, a crucial indicator of cost efficiency in mining, increased on a year-over-y ...

Key Takeaways ARMN stock has jumped 56.8% in three months, outperforming industry, S&P 500 and peers.Aris Mining boosted Q3 gold output 36.6% YoY, driven by higher processing at the Segovia mine.ARMN's AISC rose 6.6% YoY to $1,641 per ounce, reflecting higher sustaining capital spending.Shares of Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) have been showing some decent gains of late, rising 56.8% in the past three months. The gold producer has outperformed the industry’s and the S&P 500 composite’s growth of 33.4% and 3 ...

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Company Overview - Aris Mining (ARMN) is a Vancouver-based gold mining company operating two mines in Colombia [1] - The company produced 257,000 ounces of gold in 2025 and is projected to increase production to 325,000 ounces [1] Investment Philosophy - Mountain Valley Value Investments focuses on identifying undervalued companies with strong growth potential across various sectors [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes long-term value and disciplined research to uncover opportunities that can deliver strong returns [1]

Core Viewpoint - Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) has shown a significant price increase of 8.4% over the past four weeks, with a mean price target of $22.1 indicating a potential upside of 28.9% from the current trading price of $17.14 [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of four short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $3.86, suggesting variability among analysts; the lowest estimate is $16.56 (3.4% decline), while the highest is $25.50 (48.8% increase) [2] - A low standard deviation indicates strong agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement, which can serve as a starting point for further research [9] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Optimism - Analysts have shown growing optimism regarding ARMN's earnings prospects, as evidenced by a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions, which correlates with near-term stock price movements [11] - Over the last 30 days, one earnings estimate has increased, leading to a 14.6% rise in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year [12] Zacks Rank and Investment Potential - ARMN holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates, indicating strong potential for upside in the near term [13] - While the consensus price target may not be a reliable indicator of the extent of potential gains, it does provide a useful guide for price direction [14]

Core Viewpoint - Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN) and Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) are emerging gold producers in the Zacks Mining - Gold industry, both expanding production through operating mines and development projects across the Americas and Africa [2][3]. Aris Mining (ARMN) - Aris Mining produced 69,852 ounces of gold in Q4 2025, totaling 256,503 ounces for the year, a 22% increase year over year, exceeding the guidance range of 230,000-275,000 ounces [4][11]. - The Segovia mine is the primary driver of production growth, with an expected output of 265,000-300,000 ounces in 2026, up from 227,762 ounces in 2025 [5]. - The acquisition of the remaining 49% stake in the Soto Norte project positions Aris Mining as the sole owner, reaffirming it as a top undeveloped gold asset in the Americas [6]. - The Marmato operation is also a long-term growth engine, with expected production of 35,000-50,000 ounces in 2026, up from 28,741 ounces in 2025 [7]. - Aris Mining has a strong cash balance of $390 million at the end of Q4 2025, supporting ongoing investment in expansion projects [8]. - However, ARMN faces rising cost pressures, with all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) increasing 6.6% year over year to approximately $1,641 per ounce [9][11]. Allied Gold (AAUC) - Allied Gold produced 262,077 ounces of gold in the first nine months of 2025, slightly above the previous year's output, and anticipates production exceeding 375,000 ounces for the full year [12]. - The company is enhancing performance through drilling high-grade zones and improving mine models, with new equipment introduced at Sadiola to increase fleet availability [13]. - The Kurmuk mine in Ethiopia is a significant development project, targeting an average production of about 290,000 ounces per year, with plans to grow total resources to 5 million ounces over five years [14]. - AAUC is experiencing cost inflation, with total cost of sales increasing 20.7% year over year to $2,087 per gold ounce sold [15]. - The company has recorded weaker cash flow generation due to high capital expenditures, impacting profitability as margins are constrained by rising costs [16]. Financial Performance and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ARMN's 2025 earnings per share (EPS) indicates a growth of 311.8%, with estimates trending 3.7% upward over the past 60 days [17]. - For AAUC, the 2025 EPS estimate implies a year-over-year growth of 928.6%, with estimates increasing by 17.1% over the same period [18]. - In the past six months, ARMN's shares surged 194.5%, while AAUC stock gained 148.3% [20]. - ARMN is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 6.17X, below its median of 6.91X, while AAUC's forward earnings multiple is at 5.46X, higher than its median of 4.71X [22]. Conclusion - Aris Mining is well-positioned for long-term growth with a strong pipeline of projects and a solid cash position, while Allied Gold faces near-term challenges due to elevated costs and weaker cash flow [24][26].

Currency and Market Overview - The U.S. dollar has fallen to its weakest level in nearly four years, declining about 10% over the past year due to rising geopolitical tensions and tariff-driven market volatility [1][2] - The dollar's decline accelerated following President Trump's tariff announcements, which triggered a global market sell-off and increased uncertainty regarding trade relations, particularly with European allies [2][3] Precious Metals Performance - Gold and silver have reached record highs as investors seek safe-haven assets amid economic and geopolitical stress, with spot gold up more than 27% this year and nearing $5,600, while silver approaches a record high near $120 [4][5] - The Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady, acknowledging elevated inflation, has further supported the rally in precious metals, which typically move inversely to the dollar [5][6] Investment Opportunities in Precious Metal Stocks - AngloGold Ashanti is a leading global gold producer with a strong asset base and recent acquisitions, including Augusta Gold Corp. and Centamin, which have enhanced its production capabilities [7][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AngloGold's 2026 sales and EPS indicates a year-over-year increase of 23% and 41%, respectively, with an upward revision of 8 cents in EPS over the past 30 days [9] - Fresnillo, a major silver and gold producer in Mexico, has expanded its portfolio through the acquisition of Probe Gold, adding significant gold resources and focusing on improving production efficiency [12][13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Fresnillo's 2026 sales and EPS suggests a substantial year-over-year increase of 75% and 578%, respectively, with a recent EPS revision of 35 cents [14] - Aris Mining is enhancing its presence in Latin America with a focus on gold properties and has a robust project pipeline, including the Segovia mine and the Soto Norte Project [15][16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Aris Mining's 2026 EPS indicates a year-over-year surge of 91%, with an upward revision of 32 cents in the past 30 days [17] - Hecla Mining, the largest silver producer in the U.S. and Canada, is advancing its Keno Hill project towards commercial production and has promising exploration results from its Midas Project [18] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Hecla Mining's 2026 sales and EPS forecasts a year-over-year increase of 14% and 38%, respectively, with a recent EPS revision of 17 cents [19]

Core Viewpoint - Aris Mining is considered undervalued with significant growth opportunities in 2026, supported by its gold production capabilities and strategic projects [2][6]. Group 1: Company Overview - Aris Mining focuses on gold production and is a key player in the mining industry, competing with giants like Barrick Gold and Newmont Corporation [1]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $4.09 billion, indicating strong investor interest [5]. Group 2: Production and Financial Performance - The Segovia and Marmato mines are expected to produce between 300,000 to 350,000 ounces of gold in 2026, which is anticipated to generate strong operating cash flow [2][6]. - Current gold prices are favorable, enhancing the potential for robust financial performance [2]. Group 3: Key Projects and Valuation - The Toroparu Pre-Feasibility Study (PFS) and Soto Norte permitting are crucial for Aris Mining in 2026, with the potential to deliver a multi-billion dollar net present value (NPV) [3]. - These developments could significantly impact the company's financial performance and stock valuation [3]. Group 4: Stock Performance - As of January 23, 2026, Aris Mining's stock was priced at $20.01, with a recent increase to $20.19, reflecting a 2.80% rise [1][4]. - The stock has experienced considerable volatility over the past year, with a high of $20.40 and a low of $3.50 [4].

Core Insights - The article presents a "Top 5 Mining Stocks to Watch" list for 2026, highlighting the success of 2025 where record-breaking metals prices led to triple-digit returns for featured companies [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In 2025, the mining sector experienced significant growth due to high metals prices, resulting in substantial returns for investors [1] Group 2: Analyst Background - Peter Arendas, an associate professor with over 15 years of investing experience, specializes in small and mid-cap companies in the resource sector, particularly in precious and industrial metals royalty & streaming [1]

Core Viewpoint - Aris Mining Corporation is undergoing a significant leadership transition with the retirement of Ian Telfer as Chair, and Neil Woodyer has been appointed as Chair and Chief Executive Officer, aiming to enhance execution and growth strategies [1][2][3]. Board Leadership Changes - Ian Telfer has retired from the Board of Directors after serving since February 2021, but will continue in an advisory role [2]. - The Board has approved a streamlined governance structure, combining the roles of Chair and CEO, supported by a strong Lead Independent Director [4][6]. Management Leadership Changes - Doug Bowlby has been promoted to President, supporting the CEO in corporate strategy and initiatives, while the Chief Operating Officer role has been eliminated [5]. - Neil Woodyer will lead operational and project execution directly, with Dustin VanDoorselaere and Cornelius Lourens reporting to him [6][8]. Operational and Growth Strategy - Aris Mining operates two underground gold mines in Colombia, targeting an annual production of approximately 1.0 million ounces of gold, with current production at 256,503 ounces in 2025 [10]. - The company has a development pipeline including the Toroparu gold project in Guyana and the Soto Norte project in Colombia, with studies underway to advance these projects [10].