Disney's Iger-Led Turnaround Gains Traction

Core Viewpoint - The Walt Disney Company is experiencing revenue headwinds but shows enduring brand strength and improving profitability, particularly following Bob Iger's return to leadership [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q2, Disney reported net revenue of $23.65 billion, a 2.1% increase year-over-year, with growth in Entertainment and Experiences offsetting declines in Sports [6]. - EBIT grew by 4%, segment operating income by 8%, adjusted earnings by 16%, cash from operations by 41%, and free cash flow by 51%, with adjusted earnings exceeding consensus by nearly 1200 basis points [7]. Business Strategy - The company is focusing on streaming and sports, integrating Hulu and Disney+ to create a more comprehensive streaming solution, and acquiring NFL media assets for ESPN [9]. - Disney's diversified business model and emphasis on quality are contributing to growth despite challenges in Q2 [6]. Market Outlook - Analysts are optimistic about Disney's stock, with a 12-month price forecast of $129.83, indicating a potential upside of 12.58% from the current price of $115.32 [10]. - Institutional investors own 66% of Disney's stock and are buying at a two-to-one pace in Q3, providing a strong market tailwind [12]. Capital Return and Shareholder Value - The company has reduced debt and total liabilities while increasing equity by 7%, despite share buybacks that lowered the share count by 1.2% [10][11]. - Dividend payments are expected to continue steadily, remaining below 20% of forecasted earnings, with an anticipated increase in 2026 [11].