债市早报：资金面均衡偏松，债市偏暖震荡

Group 1: Domestic Bond Market - The new regulations for technology innovation bonds have led to explosive growth in issuance scale and improved market efficiency, with significant enhancements in liquidity and trading activity in the secondary market [2] - The margin balance for margin trading has surpassed 2 trillion yuan, reaching a ten-year high, indicating active participation from financing in the A-share market [2] Group 2: International Bond Market - The auction of 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds was unexpectedly weak, with a bid-to-cover ratio dropping to 2.35, the lowest since August 2024, and indirect bids from overseas investors at 64.2%, the lowest since January [6] - The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds remains at 4.22%, while the yield on 2-year bonds has decreased to 3.69%, resulting in an expanded yield spread [17] Group 3: Commodity Market - International crude oil futures prices have continued to decline, with WTI and Brent crude oil prices dropping to $64.35 and $66.89 per barrel, respectively [7] Group 4: Financial Operations - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 138.5 billion yuan at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 170.5 billion yuan on that day [8] - The money market showed a balanced and slightly loose condition, with the DR001 and DR007 rates rising to 1.315% and 1.456%, respectively [9] Group 5: Credit Bonds - Significant price deviations were observed in the secondary market for credit bonds, with certain industrial bonds experiencing declines of over 26% [13] - Companies such as Zhongyu Land and Poly Real Estate reported substantial losses and declines in contract sales, indicating potential risks in the real estate sector [14]