方正证券：澳洲锂矿Q2经营速递 行业处于底部投资区间

Core Viewpoint - The lithium industry is currently in a bottom investment zone, with limited supply growth due to decreased capital expenditure in global lithium resources, while demand from electric vehicles and energy storage continues to drive lithium salt demand growth [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - The global lithium resource capital expenditure enthusiasm is waning due to current lithium prices, leading to limited supply growth [1] - Demand from electric vehicles and energy storage is expected to continue driving lithium salt demand growth, indicating a potential turning point in supply-demand dynamics [1] - Regulatory measures in regions like Jiangxi and Qinghai, China, are expected to help accelerate supply clearing in the industry, thereby supporting lithium price stabilization [1] Group 2: Australian Lithium Producers - The four major lithium producers in Australia are projected to produce a total of 3.25 million tons of lithium concentrate in FY2025, reflecting a 3% year-on-year increase, indicating low growth due to low lithium prices affecting resource supply [2] - Greenbushes mine maintained stable production with a cash cost of 366 AUD/ton (approximately 238 USD/ton) in Q2 FY2025, a 7% increase from the previous quarter, with production guidance for FY2026 set at 150-165 thousand tons [2] - Pilbara's production for FY2025 reached 754,600 tons, exceeding guidance, with a planned production of 820-870 thousand tons for FY2026 and a decrease in FOB costs [2] - Marion mine's production in FY2025 was 514,000 tons, with a slight increase in costs, while Wodgina achieved a record production of 502,000 tons, with a 17% decrease in FOB costs in Q2 FY2025 [3]