7月挖掘机开工率承压，财政发力或推动开工逐步改善

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the declining operating rates in the construction machinery sector, particularly excavators, which are seen as indicators of national economic health [1][3] - In July 2025, the operating rate for major construction machinery products was reported at 56.2%, a year-on-year decrease of 6.72 percentage points and a month-on-month decrease of 0.66 percentage points [1] - The excavator operating rate specifically was 56.7%, reflecting a slight month-on-month decline of 1.5 percentage points [1] Group 2 - The Chinese government is expected to continue implementing policies to expand domestic demand, which is increasingly important for stabilizing economic growth amid rising external uncertainties [1] - A meeting of the Central Political Bureau on July 30, 2025, emphasized the need for sustained macroeconomic policy efforts and the acceleration of government bond issuance to improve fund utilization [1] - The Ministry of Finance plans to enhance fiscal policies and increase counter-cyclical adjustments, including the issuance of long-term special bonds and local government bonds to support economic activities [1] Group 3 - According to estimates from Industrial Securities, the issuance of government bonds is projected to reach 7.9 trillion yuan in the third quarter of 2025, with a net financing scale of 4.6 trillion yuan [3] - The anticipated bond issuance includes 4.4 trillion yuan in national bonds and 3.5 trillion yuan in local bonds, with significant issuance expected in August and September [3] - A report from China Galaxy Securities indicates that government special bonds and long-term bonds will support domestic demand recovery, with a focus on infrastructure and real estate projects [3]