Group 1 - The Trump administration is pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to reduce the cost of currency hedging for international investors, ensuring their dollar-denominated asset returns are protected from currency depreciation [2][5] - International investors, particularly foreign life insurance companies, have significantly reduced their currency hedging ratios, with some cutting their hedging from 90% to 45% [2][3] - The flattening yield curve in the U.S. means that the interest rate differential, which motivates foreign life insurance companies to invest in U.S. bonds, is being eroded by high hedging costs [3][5] Group 2 - The Trump administration's public support for a weaker dollar has forced international investors to close their risk exposures in dollar assets [4] - The challenge for the U.S. Treasury is to attract buyers for long-term U.S. bonds, especially as Japan's government bonds now offer higher yields compared to U.S. bonds [5] - Lowering the federal funds rate could narrow the interest rate differential between the U.S. and Japan, making hedging cheaper and potentially attracting international buyers back to U.S. long-term assets [5][6]
没表面那么简单!特朗普逼宫美联储降息,背后另有深意
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-08-07 08:41