Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is at a turning point as traditional fuel vehicles face declining sales and increasing competition from electric vehicles, raising questions about the future market share of fuel vehicles [1][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - In 2024, the domestic sales of traditional fuel passenger cars in China are projected to be 11.558 million units, a decrease of 2.485 million units or 17.4% year-on-year, with a market share of 51% [1]. - In the first half of 2023, domestic sales of traditional fuel passenger cars reached 5.426 million units, a slight decline of 1.8% year-on-year, while total passenger car sales were 10.95 million units, with a market share of 49.6% [1]. - In June 2023, traditional fuel passenger car sales saw a month-on-month increase of 14.7% and a year-on-year increase of 9.7%, totaling 980,000 units [11]. Group 2: Sales Growth of Joint Ventures - Several joint venture car manufacturers, including FAW Toyota, SAIC Volkswagen, and GAC Toyota, reported sales growth in the first half of 2023, with FAW Toyota growing by 16% and GAC Toyota by 2.58% [2]. - SAIC Volkswagen's market share for fuel vehicles increased to 8.59% in the first half of 2023, up from 7.61% in the same period last year [2]. - In July 2023, joint venture brands like GAC Toyota and FAW Toyota also saw year-on-year sales growth, with SAIC General achieving a remarkable increase of 181.68% [3]. Group 3: Fuel Vehicle Contribution - Fuel vehicles remain a significant contributor to the sales and profits of joint venture brands, with traditional fuel models still dominating the market [8][12]. - In the first half of 2023, joint venture brands' retail share was approximately 36%, with a sales volume of 2.751 million units, a decline of only 6.9% compared to the previous year [4]. - The sales of classic fuel vehicles, such as the Volkswagen Lavida and Passat, continue to rank among the top-selling models in the market [7]. Group 4: Marketing Strategies - Many joint venture car manufacturers have adopted a "one-price" policy for fuel models to enhance pricing transparency and dealer traffic [10]. - The average price reduction for conventional fuel vehicles from January to July 2023 was 16,000 yuan, with a reduction rate of 9.1%, which is lower than the 11.1% reduction rate for new energy vehicles [10]. - Promotional activities for joint venture fuel vehicles reached a high of 22.9% in July 2023, indicating a significant increase in marketing efforts [10]. Group 5: Technological Advancements - The trend of "oil-electric intelligence" is emerging, with fuel vehicles increasingly incorporating smart technologies to compete with electric vehicles [12][17]. - New models like the SAIC Audi A5L Sportback, which features Huawei's advanced driving system, highlight the industry's push towards integrating smart features into fuel vehicles [13][14]. - Joint venture brands are focusing on upgrading their products' smart capabilities to narrow the experience gap with electric vehicles, enhancing their competitiveness [15][17].
燃油车的半壁江山，还能守多久？
3 6 Ke·2025-08-07 10:12