中国汽车流通协会：预计7月二手车交易量将达165万辆左右 环比基本持平

Core Insights - The used car market in China is experiencing a seasonal downturn, with over 60% of dealers reporting weak customer traffic and 30% indicating sales have dropped to early July's low levels [1][2] - Despite the recent decline, the trading volume has shown a slight weekly increase since the second week of July, supported by a stable replacement rate above 60% due to vehicle replacement policies [1] - The average daily trading volume for the week of July 28 to August 3 was 63,900 units, reflecting a 1.64% decrease from the previous week and a 0.7% decline compared to the same period last year [1] Market Trends - The market is currently in a traditional off-season, leading to decreased trading volume and dealer challenges such as inventory buildup and cash flow issues [2] - However, seasonal consumption patterns remain, and improvements in weather, increased travel demand, and upcoming holidays and promotions are expected to create a small consumption peak [2] - The stabilization of new car prices has positively impacted the used car market by encouraging consumers to trade in old vehicles and stabilizing price expectations [1] Regional Analysis - The overall used car market shows a slight downward trend, with only the Northeast and Northwest regions experiencing growth in trading volume [6] - In East China, the average daily trading volume was 22,500 units, down 1.52% from the previous week, with cities like Xiamen and Hefei showing significant declines of 20% and over 10%, respectively [7] - The North China region's trading volume remained stable at 2,500 units, but Beijing and Langfang saw declines of 5.6% and over 10% [7] - The Northeast region reported a daily trading volume of 2,400 units, up 5.42%, with cities like Dalian and Jixi showing increases exceeding 15% [8] - In Southwest China, the average daily trading volume was 12,600 units, down 2.53%, with Chengdu and Chongqing experiencing declines of 4.3% and 5.3% [8] - The Central South region's trading volume was 22,700 units, down 2.42%, with significant drops in cities like Changsha (25%) and Wuhan (over 20%) [8] - The Northwest region reported a daily trading volume of 1,100 units, up 6.56%, with Xining showing a notable increase of over 15% [8]