Can Rigetti's 36-Qubit Performance Break the Revenue Drought?

Core Insights - Rigetti Computing has achieved a significant technical milestone with its 36-qubit Ankaa system, demonstrating a two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.5%, the highest fidelity recorded for its quantum systems, validating its modular architecture and fabrication improvements [1][6] - Despite these advancements, Rigetti has not yet established a clear path to meaningful revenue growth, with its financial results indicating early stages of customer adoption and product-market fit [1][2] - The company plans to launch its 36-qubit system on August 15, 2025, and aims to release a 100+ qubit chiplet-based system targeting 99.5% median two-qubit gate fidelity by the end of 2025 [2] Industry Comparisons - D-Wave Quantum has focused on annealing-based quantum systems and has built early-stage commercial relationships in optimization-heavy industries, resulting in more consistent revenue from paying customers [3] - Quantum Computing Inc. is pursuing a software-centric model with its Qatalyst platform, which remains in early commercialization stages and faces challenges in proving real-world value [4] Financial Performance - Rigetti's shares have increased by 3.6% year-to-date, while the industry has grown by 21.5% [5] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 22.41, which is above the industry average, and carries a Value Score of F [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2025 earnings suggests an 86.1% increase from the previous year [8]