汽车芯片大厂业绩增速回落

Core Viewpoint - The automotive chip market, initially expected to recover, is showing renewed pressure in Q2, with major chip manufacturers reporting a decline in growth rates compared to the previous quarter, indicating a setback in the recovery process [2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - Major chip manufacturers like Texas Instruments, STMicroelectronics, and Infineon have reported a decline in automotive chip performance, with Texas Instruments experiencing a year-on-year growth of approximately 5% but a quarter-on-quarter decline in single digits [4]. - STMicroelectronics reported a 24% year-on-year decline in automotive business but a 14% quarter-on-quarter increase, indicating volatility influenced by specific customer decisions [5]. - Infineon also noted a 3% year-on-year decrease in automotive revenue but a 1% quarter-on-quarter increase, suggesting a slight improvement as customer inventory adjustments slow down [5]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The global automotive industry is still adjusting its inventory, with weak market demand and geopolitical factors impacting the supply chain [2][6]. - The forecast for global automotive sales in 2025 is approximately 94.7 million units, with a modest growth of 3.7%, and a potential decline in 2026, reflecting a slowdown in electric vehicle growth and persistent low demand for traditional fuel vehicles [6]. - The automotive chip market is facing structural differences in recovery, with power chips and high-end intelligent chips expected to recover first by late 2025, while general-purpose chips like MCU and PMIC may lag until late 2025 or early 2026 [9][10]. Group 3: Emerging Opportunities - The rise of intelligent driving technologies, such as Robotaxi and Robotruck, is expected to create new demand for automotive chips, particularly in AI and high-performance computing [10][11]. - The increasing penetration of electric vehicles is projected to boost the demand for power chips, with a forecasted penetration rate of 25% by 2025, leading to a gradual alleviation of supply shortages [9]. - Domestic chip manufacturers in China are gaining traction in the automotive chip market, particularly in the mid-to-low-end segments, but still face challenges in high-end chip production [11].